Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Novara vs Pergolettese preview and prediction
The match
Novara host Pergolettese in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Silvio Piola. Novara are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Pergolettese sit 10th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Novara's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Renate 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pergolettese's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Juventus U23 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Novara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for Novara and 0.7 for Pergolettese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Novara 1–0 Pergolettese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Novara49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Pergolettese28%fair 3.60 · @3.40
1.83Expected goals
1.11Novara xG
0.72Pergolettese xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Novara 1.1 – 0.7 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
49%
2.06
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.63
–
Form
Novara – last 6
WDDLWL
7 Sep
@ Renate
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Livorno
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Folgore Caratese
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Juventus U23
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Alcione
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pergolettese – last 6
DLLDDD
6 Sep
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Union Brescia
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Cittadella
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Inter U23
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Vicenza Virtus
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novara and Pergolettese.
What is the prediction for Novara vs Pergolettese?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Novara vs Pergolettese?
On our numbers Novara have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pergolettese 28%.
How many goals will there be in Novara vs Pergolettese?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novara vs Pergolettese?
Our predicted score is Novara 1–0 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Novara vs Pergolettese?
Novara vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
