Value bet: Alcione to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcione to win ✓43% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione preview and prediction
The match
Alcione travel to AlbinoLeffe in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 13 September (17:00 WAT) to face Folgore Caratese. Folgore Caratese are 20th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Alcione sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Folgore Caratese's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to PRO Vercelli 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alcione's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Treviso 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Folgore Caratese and 1.3 for Alcione. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Alcione to win at 2.80 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Folgore Caratese 1–1 Alcione. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Folgore Caratese33%fair 3.03 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Alcione43%fair 2.32 · @2.80
2.33Expected goals
1.06Folgore Caratese xG
1.27Alcione xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 1.1 – 1.3 Alcione expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcione to win✓
43%
2.32
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcione / FT Alcione✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Folgore Caratese – last 6
LDLDDD
7 Sep
@ PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Novara
2–2
D
24 Aug
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Giana Erminio
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Sassuolo
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alcione – last 6
DDWLLL
7 Sep
vs Treviso
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Renate
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Novara
0–1
L
30 Jul
@ Mantova
2–6
L
22 Jul
@ Torino
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Folgore Caratese and Alcione.
What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alcione 43%.
How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
Our predicted score is Folgore Caratese 1–1 Alcione, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Folgore Caratese vs Alcione?
Folgore Caratese vs Alcione (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
