Serie C Girone A · Italy · Stadio Sandro CabassiAthletic Carpi vs Cittadella prediction & analysis
Cittadella or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 0.9 – 2.0 Cittadella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cittadella travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 13% for Athletic Carpi.
Athletic Carpi have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cittadella have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Cittadella come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Athletic Carpi, 2.0 for Cittadella). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Cittadella or draw at a 87% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is better than our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Cittadella to win at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cittadella to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cittadella or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.29 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Half-time result | Cittadella ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.20 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.60 | – |
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 6 Sep | @ Albinoleffe | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | vs PRO Vercelli | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Juventus U23 | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Union Brescia | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Pianese | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Mantova | 1–0 | W |
Cittadella – last 6
| 6 Sep | vs Lumezzane | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs Renate | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Renate | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Pergolettese | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Atalanta II | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Luparense | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Cittadella.
Serie C Girone A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 13 | +13 | 31 |
| 2 |  Union Brescia | 13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Trento | 13 | +12 | 27 |
| 4 |  Ospitaletto | 13 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 13 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  Lecco | 13 | +11 | 20 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |  Albinoleffe | 13 | +1 | 17 |
| 10 |  Pergolettese | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 |  Lumezzane | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  PRO Vercelli | 13 | -7 | 16 |
| 13 |  Desenzano Calvina | 13 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Novara | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Athletic Carpi | 13 | -10 | 13 |
| 16 |  Giana Erminio | 13 | -4 | 12 |
| 17 |  Renate | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 13 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 13 | -12 | 10 |
| 20 |  Folgore Caratese | 13 | -10 | 8 |
More Serie C Girone A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cittadella 61%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.