Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lecco to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLecco to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓24% · fair 4.16
Lecco vs Giana Erminio preview and prediction
The match
Lecco host Giana Erminio in the Serie C Girone A on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi. Lecco are 7th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Giana Erminio sit 16th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lecco's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Trento 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Giana Erminio's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Dolomiti Bellunesi 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Lecco 2–1 Giana Erminio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.1 for Lecco and 0.4 for Giana Erminio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Lecco to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lecco or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lecco 1–0 Giana Erminio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco58%fair 1.72 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @2.90
Giana Erminio20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
1.50Expected goals
1.08Lecco xG
0.42Giana Erminio xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–022%
2–013%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.1 – 0.4 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
Our pick is Lecco or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
On our numbers Lecco have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Giana Erminio 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Giana Erminio?
Lecco vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
