Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCesena to win ✓76% · @1.09
Double chanceCesena or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
Cesena vs Fossombrone preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Cesena take on Fossombrone on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Cesena's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Padova 3–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Fossombrone's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Recanatese 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fossombrone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.1 for Cesena and 0.4 for Fossombrone. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 63%, both teams to score at 39%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cesena 3–0 Fossombrone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena76%fair 1.31 · @1.09
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @9.50
Fossombrone6%fair 17.92 · @19.00
2.57Expected goals
2.14Cesena xG
0.44Fossombrone xG
39%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–017%
1–016%
3–012%
0–08%
2–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Cesena 2.1 – 0.4 Fossombrone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cesena to win✓
76%
1.31
1.09
Double chance
Cesena or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Cesena ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cesena / FT Cesena✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
17%
5.75
–
Form
Cesena – last 6
LDDLLL
8 May
vs Padova
3–4
L
1 May
@ Carrarese
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Mantova
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fossombrone – last 6
LDLWDW
3 May
@ Recanatese
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Atletico Ascoli
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Victor San Marino
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs L'Aquila
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Termoli Calcio
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Sammaurese
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Fossombrone.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cesena vs Fossombrone?
On our numbers Cesena have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Fossombrone 6%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Fossombrone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Fossombrone?
Our predicted score is Cesena 3–0 Fossombrone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Fossombrone?
Cesena vs Fossombrone (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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