Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.90
Moreirense vs Amarante preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Moreirense take on Amarante on Saturday 1 August, kicking off at 10:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Moreirense's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with GIL Vicente 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Amarante's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Chaves 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Amarante arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Moreirense and 1.0 for Amarante. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 50% and both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Moreirense to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moreirense 1–0 Amarante. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreirense58%fair 1.74 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.20
Amarante17%fair 5.92 · @3.85
2.97Expected goals
1.96Moreirense xG
1.01Amarante xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Moreirense 2.0 – 1.0 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense to win✓
58%
1.74
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Moreirense or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Moreirense ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense / FT Moreirense✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.90
–
Form
Moreirense – last 6
DLDLWD
25 Jul
@ GIL Vicente
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ Santa Clara
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs AVS
2–2
D
11 May
@ Tondela
0–2
L
20 Apr
vs Estoril
1–0
W
10 Apr
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amarante – last 6
LWDWDW
22 Jul
@ Chaves
1–2
L
10 May
vs União Santarém
1–0
W
1 May
@ Trofense
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Mafra
4–1
W
29 Mar
vs Academica
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Guimaraes B
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense and Amarante.
What is the prediction for Moreirense vs Amarante?
Our pick is Moreirense to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Moreirense vs Amarante?
On our numbers Moreirense have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Amarante 17%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense vs Amarante?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is Moreirense 1–0 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Moreirense vs Amarante?
Moreirense vs Amarante (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lazio6
Avellino3
Levante2
Albacete1
Alcorcon2
Getafe II0
Lucko1
Segesta Sisak1
Eibar5
Arenas Getxo0
Bayer Leverkusen3
Rot-Weiß Essen0
De Graafschap1
Excelsior5
Athletic Club II2
Cultural Leonesa0