Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✗41% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Olimpia take on Vasco DA Gama on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. Olimpia are 1st with 13 points from 6 games, while Vasco DA Gama sit 2nd on 10 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olimpia's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Sportivo Ameliano 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Santos 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 August 2026, finished Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Olimpia. Across their last 3 meetings Olimpia have won 1, Vasco DA Gama 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Olimpia and 1.1 for Vasco DA Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olimpia 41%, draw 24%, Vasco DA Gama 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Olimpia 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpia41%fair 2.44 · @2.42
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.90 · @2.98
2.30Expected goals
1.21Olimpia xG
1.08Vasco DA Gama xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.2 – 1.1 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vasco DA Gama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Torque2
Tigre1
Santa Fe0
River Plate0
Macara0
Santos0