Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 3.85 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗41% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Atletico Torque vs Tigre preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Atletico Torque take on Tigre on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario. Atletico Torque are 1st with 13 points from 6 games, while Tigre sit 2nd on 9 points.
Form guide
Atletico Torque's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Juventud 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tigre's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Aldosivi 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 August 2026, finished Tigre 0–1 Atletico Torque.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Atletico Torque and 1.2 for Tigre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Atletico Torque to win at 3.85 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Atletico Torque 1–1 Tigre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Torque34%fair 2.97 · @3.85
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.96
Tigre41%fair 2.47 · @2.12
2.17Expected goals
1.02Atletico Torque xG
1.15Tigre xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.0 – 1.2 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tigre 41%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Tigre?
Atletico Torque vs Tigre (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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