Value bet: Santos to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos to win ✗39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Macara vs Santos preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Sudamericana sees Macara take on Santos on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 1st with 10 points from 6 games, while Santos sit 2nd on 7 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Universidad Catolica 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santos's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Vasco DA Gama 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 August 2026, finished Santos 2–1 Macara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Macara and 1.2 for Santos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 36%, draw 24%, Santos 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Santos to win at 2.98 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Macara 1–1 Santos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara36%fair 2.74 · @2.34
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Santos39%fair 2.54 · @2.98
2.44Expected goals
1.19Macara xG
1.25Santos xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Macara 1.2 – 1.2 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macara vs Santos?
On our numbers Macara have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santos 39%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Santos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Santos?
Macara vs Santos (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Torque2
Santa Fe0
River Plate0
Olimpia1
Vasco DA Gama4