Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓65% · @1.83
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi City travel to Unilever Stadium Shintomi in the J2 League on Tuesday 3 November (06:00 WAT) to face Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Tegevajaro Miyazaki are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Tochigi City sit 18th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Oita Trinita 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Tochigi City's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Iwaki 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 0.9 for Tochigi City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 65%, draw 22%, Tochigi City 13%.
Safer route: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tegevajaro Miyazaki65%fair 1.55 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Tochigi City13%fair 7.59 · @4.00
2.99Expected goals
2.11Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
0.88Tochigi City xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2.1 – 0.9 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✓
65%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6
WWWDDL
31 Oct
vs Oita Trinita
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–0
W
21 Oct
vs Blaublitz Akita
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Jubilo Iwata
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Kataller Toyama
1–1
D
7 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
LLDDLL
31 Oct
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
25 Oct
@ Shonan Bellmare
1–2
L
21 Oct
vs Fujieda MYFC
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Yokohama FC
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ventforet Kofu
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Imabari
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tochigi City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City?
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
