Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Tokushima Vortis to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTokushima Vortis to win ✗39% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Montedio Yamagata take on Tokushima Vortis on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata are 14th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Tokushima Vortis sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Montedio Yamagata's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Vanraure Hachinohe 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tokushima Vortis's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Yokohama FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Montedio Yamagata and 1.1 for Tokushima Vortis. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Value angle: Tokushima Vortis to win at 2.88 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Montedio Yamagata37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Tokushima Vortis39%fair 2.59 · @2.88
2.14Expected goals
1.06Montedio Yamagata xG
1.09Tokushima Vortis xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Montedio Yamagata 1.1 – 1.1 Tokushima Vortis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tokushima Vortis to win✗
39%
2.59
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.85
–
Form
Montedio Yamagata – last 6
WLLDLL
31 Oct
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–2
L
21 Oct
vs Consadole Sapporo
0–2
L
17 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Oita Trinita
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tokushima Vortis – last 6
LWLDLL
31 Oct
vs Yokohama FC
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Fujieda MYFC
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs Vanraure Hachinohe
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Vegalta Sendai
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Imabari
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montedio Yamagata and Tokushima Vortis.
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
On our numbers Montedio Yamagata have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokushima Vortis 39%.
How many goals will there be in Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Our predicted score is Montedio Yamagata 1–1 Tokushima Vortis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis?
Montedio Yamagata vs Tokushima Vortis (J2 League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
