Value bet: Shonan Bellmare to win @ 2.20 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShonan Bellmare to win ✓49% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.54
Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare preview and prediction
The match
Shonan Bellmare travel to ASICS Satoyama Stadium in the J2 League on Saturday 26 September (09:00 WAT) to face Imabari. Imabari are 19th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Shonan Bellmare sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Imabari's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Shonan Bellmare's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Blaublitz Akita 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Shonan Bellmare arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Imabari and 1.5 for Shonan Bellmare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Shonan Bellmare to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Imabari 1–1 Shonan Bellmare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Imabari30%fair 3.33 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Shonan Bellmare49%fair 2.04 · @2.20
2.53Expected goals
1.06Imabari xG
1.46Shonan Bellmare xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Imabari 1.1 – 1.5 Shonan Bellmare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shonan Bellmare to win✓
49%
2.04
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shonan Bellmare / FT Shonan Bellmare✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.54
–
Form
Imabari – last 6
LLWDLL
23 Sep
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–4
L
19 Sep
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Sagan Tosu
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Oita Trinita
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Kanazawa
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shonan Bellmare – last 6
DWDLDW
19 Sep
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
1–0
W
9 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–3
D
5 Sep
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
29 Aug
@ Omiya Ardija
2–2
D
26 Aug
vs Reinmeer Aomori
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imabari and Shonan Bellmare.
What is the prediction for Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
On our numbers Imabari have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shonan Bellmare 49%.
How many goals will there be in Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
Our predicted score is Imabari 1–1 Shonan Bellmare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare?
Imabari vs Shonan Bellmare (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at ASICS Satoyama Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
