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J2 League · Japan · NACK5 Stadium Omiya

Omiya Ardija

DDDLD
5–1
FT

Ventforet Kofu

LLLWL

Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu prediction & analysis

70%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42

Win chances

Omiya Ardija62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.90
Ventforet Kofu18%fair 5.58 · @5.25
2.58Expected goals
1.77Omiya Ardija xG
0.80Ventforet Kofu xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 1.8 – 0.8 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Omiya Ardija are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 18% for Ventforet Kofu.

Omiya Ardija have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Ventforet Kofu have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.8 for Omiya Ardija, 0.8 for Ventforet Kofu). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

In their last 2 meetings, Omiya Ardija have won 0, Ventforet Kofu have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.42.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOmiya Ardija to win ✓62%1.621.60
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✓82%1.221.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.40
Half-time resultOmiya Ardija ahead at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija ✓38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.42–

Form

Omiya Ardija – last 6

DDDLDW
19 Sep@ Fujieda MYFC1–1D
12 Sepvs Oita Trinita0–0D
6 Sep@ Blaublitz Akita0–0D
2 Sep@ Gainare Tottori1–3L
29 Augvs Shonan Bellmare2–2D
26 Augvs Vanraure Hachinohe2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ventforet Kofu – last 6

LLLWLW
23 Sep@ Kashima1–3L
19 Sepvs Tokushima Vortis0–1L
12 Sepvs Jubilo Iwata0–1L
5 Sep@ Montedio Yamagata2–1W
2 Sep@ Osaka0–3L
29 Augvs Consadole Sapporo2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Omiya Ardija v Ventforet Kofu1–2
28 Mar 2026Ventforet Kofu v Omiya Ardija2–1

J2 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Albirex Niigata161024-132
2Yokohama FC16943+1531
3Kataller Toyama16943+1431
4Vegalta Sendai16934+1330
5Omiya Ardija16862+1230
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki16853+929
7Consadole Sapporo16826+326
8Iwaki16727+423
9Jubilo Iwata16655+223
10Shonan Bellmare16583+123
11Oita Trinita16574+522
12Blaublitz Akita16556020
13Sagan Tosu16628-320
14Montedio Yamagata16619-219
15Tokushima Vortis16529-517
16Fujieda MYFC16376-416
17Vanraure Hachinohe164210-1514
18Tochigi City163310-1012
19Imabari163310-1612
20Ventforet Kofu163310-2212

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Oita Trinita1 Fujieda MYFC1 143%2.70X23%3.10234%2.60 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Iwaki0 Vegalta Sendai2 128%3.50X22%3.20250%2.10 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata2 Sagan Tosu0 137%2.75X24%3.25239%2.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Blaublitz Akita2 Albirex Niigata2 140%2.45X25%3.10235%2.90 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Jubilo Iwata1 Vanraure Hachinohe2 163%1.53X18%3.90219%6.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Kataller Toyama3 Yokohama FC3 139%2.62X24%3.30238%2.55 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.50 ✗
FT Tokushima Vortis3 Tochigi City0 138%2.55X25%3.10237%2.75 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki3 Consadole Sapporo2 149%2.15X21%3.40230%3.20 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?

On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ventforet Kofu 18%.

How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?

Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.