J2 League · Japan · Pocari Sweat StadiumTokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tokushima Vortis 1.4 – 1.3 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Tokushima Vortis and Tochigi City on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Tokushima Vortis have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Tochigi City have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Tokushima Vortis, 1.3 for Tochigi City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.32.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tokushima Vortis to win ✓ | 38% | 2.62 | 2.55 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.32 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.46 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tokushima Vortis / FT Tokushima Vortis ✓ | 22% | 4.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.01 | – |
Form
Tokushima Vortis – last 6
| 23 Sep | @ Gamba Osaka | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Ventforet Kofu | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Blaublitz Akita | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Iwaki | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ FC Gifu | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Oita Trinita | 1–0 | W |
Tochigi City – last 6
| 23 Sep | @ Machida Zelvia | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Vegalta Sendai | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Kataller Toyama | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Consadole Sapporo | 4–1 | W |
| 2 Sep | @ Vanraure Hachinohe | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Jubilo Iwata | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokushima Vortis and Tochigi City.
J2 League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albirex Niigata | 16 | -1 | 32 |
| 2 |  Yokohama FC | 16 | +15 | 31 |
| 3 |  Kataller Toyama | 16 | +14 | 31 |
| 4 |  Vegalta Sendai | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 5 |  Omiya Ardija | 16 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 7 |  Consadole Sapporo | 16 | +3 | 26 |
| 8 |  Iwaki | 16 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Jubilo Iwata | 16 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Shonan Bellmare | 16 | +1 | 23 |
| 11 |  Oita Trinita | 16 | +5 | 22 |
| 12 |  Blaublitz Akita | 16 | 0 | 20 |
| 13 |  Sagan Tosu | 16 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 |  Montedio Yamagata | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tokushima Vortis | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 |  Fujieda MYFC | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Vanraure Hachinohe | 16 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |  Tochigi City | 16 | -10 | 12 |
| 19 |  Imabari | 16 | -16 | 12 |
| 20 |  Ventforet Kofu | 16 | -22 | 12 |
More J2 League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Tokushima Vortis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tochigi City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City?
Tokushima Vortis vs Tochigi City (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Pocari Sweat Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.