Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Avangard Kursk or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓57% · @3.25
Double chanceAvangard Kursk or draw ✓82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.59
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓11% · fair 8.70
Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ preview and prediction
The match
Kristall MEZ travel to face Avangard Kursk in the Cup on Wednesday 12 August (11:00 WAT).
Form guide
Avangard Kursk's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Arsenal Tula II 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Avangard Kursk and 1.4 for Kristall MEZ. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 63%.
Safer route: Avangard Kursk or draw (82%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.59.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Avangard Kursk or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Avangard Kursk 1–1 Kristall MEZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avangard Kursk26%fair 3.89 · @2.12
Draw57%fair 1.77 · @3.25
Kristall MEZ18%fair 5.63 · @3.02
2.91Expected goals
1.54Avangard Kursk xG
1.37Kristall MEZ xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Avangard Kursk 1.5 – 1.4 Kristall MEZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
57%
1.77
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Avangard Kursk or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.59
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.37
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avangard Kursk / FT Avangard Kursk✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
11%
8.70
–
Form
Avangard Kursk – last 6
DLLLWL
9 Aug
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Strogino
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–2
L
27 Jun
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
6–3
W
20 Jun
@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kristall MEZ – last 1
W
28 Jul
vs Salyut-Belgorod
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avangard Kursk and Kristall MEZ.
What is the prediction for Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
Our pick is Avangard Kursk or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
On our numbers Avangard Kursk have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Kristall MEZ 18%.
How many goals will there be in Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
Our predicted score is Avangard Kursk 1–1 Kristall MEZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ?
Avangard Kursk vs Kristall MEZ (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Tyumen1
Zvezda St. Petersburg1
Luki-Energiya2
Dinamo Barnaul0
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Angust Nazran0
Druzhba0
Znamya Noginsk2
Dinamo Bryansk0
Kaluga5
Iskra Smolensk0
Astrakhan1
Mashuk-KMV1
Strogino0
Torpedo Vladimir3