Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Strogino or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.29 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.02 – our chance 58% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.02
Double chanceStrogino or draw ✗82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Strogino take on Torpedo Vladimir on Wednesday 12 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Strogino's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat FK Spartak Tambov 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Torpedo Vladimir's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Dinamo Vologda 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Strogino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Strogino and 1.2 for Torpedo Vladimir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Strogino 24%, draw 58%, Torpedo Vladimir 18%.
Safer route: Strogino or draw (82%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.72.
Value angle: Draw at 3.02 – 58% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Strogino or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Strogino 1–1 Torpedo Vladimir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strogino24%fair 4.14 · @2.25
Draw58%fair 1.72 · @3.02
Torpedo Vladimir18%fair 5.60 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.35Strogino xG
1.22Torpedo Vladimir xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Strogino 1.4 – 1.2 Torpedo Vladimir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.72
3.02 ▲
Double chance
Strogino or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.72
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strogino / FT Strogino✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Strogino – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
@ FK Spartak Tambov
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Rotor-2
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs Kvant
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ Salyut-Belgorod
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Torpedo Vladimir – last 6
WDDLDW
9 Aug
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Baltika II
2–2
D
24 Jul
@ Yenisey II
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–2
L
28 Jun
@ Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Cherepovets
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strogino and Torpedo Vladimir.
What is the prediction for Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Our pick is Strogino or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?
On our numbers Strogino have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Torpedo Vladimir 18%.
How many goals will there be in Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Our predicted score is Strogino 1–1 Torpedo Vladimir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Strogino vs Torpedo Vladimir (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avangard Kursk1
Kristall MEZ1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya2
Tyumen1
Zvezda St. Petersburg1
Luki-Energiya2
Dinamo Barnaul0
Dinamo Vladivostok0
Angust Nazran0
Druzhba0
Znamya Noginsk2
Dinamo Bryansk0
Kaluga5
Iskra Smolensk0
Astrakhan1
Mashuk-KMV1