Value bet: Zvezda St. Petersburg to win @ 3.48 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✓47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya preview and prediction
The match
Luki-Energiya travel to face Zvezda St. Petersburg in the Cup on Wednesday 12 August (12:00 WAT).
Form guide
Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Baltika II 3–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Luki-Energiya's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Yenisey II 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Luki-Energiya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Luki-Energiya 3–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Zvezda St. Petersburg and 1.4 for Luki-Energiya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zvezda St. Petersburg 31%, draw 22%, Luki-Energiya 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.81.
Value angle: Zvezda St. Petersburg to win at 3.48 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Luki-Energiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg31%fair 3.23 · @3.48
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.15
Luki-Energiya47%fair 2.13 · @1.98
2.51Expected goals
1.08Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.42Luki-Energiya xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.1 – 1.4 Luki-Energiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Luki-Energiya 47%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Luki-Energiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Luki-Energiya (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.