Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 51% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaluga to win ✓67% · @1.27
Double chanceKaluga or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Kaluga take on Iskra Smolensk on Wednesday 12 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kaluga's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Rodina Moskva II 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Iskra Smolensk's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Kosmos Dolgoprudny 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kaluga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Kaluga and 0.7 for Iskra Smolensk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.45 – 51% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kaluga 2–0 Iskra Smolensk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga67%fair 1.50 · @1.27
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.15
Iskra Smolensk11%fair 8.71 · @12.25
2.67Expected goals
1.97Kaluga xG
0.70Iskra Smolensk xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kaluga 2.0 – 0.7 Iskra Smolensk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaluga to win✓
67%
1.50
1.27
Double chance
Kaluga or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.45 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.31
Half-time result
Kaluga ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaluga / FT Kaluga✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Kaluga – last 6
DLLDWL
8 Aug
vs Rodina Moskva II
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Dinamo Kirov
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Novosibirsk
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Mashuk-KMV
3–0
W
7 Jun
@ Novosibirsk
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
LDLLLD
8 Aug
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Cherepovets
1–2
L
4 Jul
vs Tver
2–4
L
21 Jun
@ Murom
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Iskra Smolensk.
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Iskra Smolensk 11%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 2–0 Iskra Smolensk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk?
Kaluga vs Iskra Smolensk (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avangard Kursk1
Kristall MEZ1
Volna Nizhegorodskaya2
Tyumen1
Zvezda St. Petersburg1
Luki-Energiya2
Dinamo Barnaul0
Dinamo Vladivostok0
Angust Nazran0
Druzhba0
Znamya Noginsk2
Dinamo Bryansk0
Astrakhan1
Mashuk-KMV1
Strogino0
Torpedo Vladimir3