Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFundacion Amigos to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.27
Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction
The match
Fundacion Amigos host Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Predio de FADEP. Fundacion Amigos are 21st with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fundacion Amigos's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Germinal de Rawson 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Rincon's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Costa Brava 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Fundacion Amigos and 0.8 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Rincon to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Fundacion Amigos 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fundacion Amigos46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Deportivo Rincon31%fair 3.27 · @3.60
1.95Expected goals
1.12Fundacion Amigos xG
0.83Deportivo Rincon xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fundacion Amigos 1.1 – 0.8 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fundacion Amigos to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fundacion Amigos / FT Fundacion Amigos✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.27
–
Form
Fundacion Amigos – last 6
DWWLDL
6 Sep
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Sol de Mayo
2–0
W
17 Aug
@ Santamarina
0–2
L
12 Aug
vs Costa Brava
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
DDWLDW
6 Sep
vs Costa Brava
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
4–2
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fundacion Amigos and Deportivo Rincon.
What is the prediction for Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Fundacion Amigos have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Rincon 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Fundacion Amigos 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon?
Fundacion Amigos vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Predio de FADEP.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
