Value bet: Santamarina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantamarina to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceSantamarina or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.67
Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo preview and prediction
The match
Circulo Deportivo travel to Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 30 August (22:00 WAT) to face Santamarina. Santamarina are 36th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Circulo Deportivo sit 37th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santamarina's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Guillermo Brown 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Circulo Deportivo's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Costa Brava 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Circulo Deportivo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Santamarina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Santamarina and 0.5 for Circulo Deportivo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santamarina 57%, draw 27%, Circulo Deportivo 16%.
Safer route: Santamarina or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Santamarina to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Santamarina 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santamarina57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.90
Circulo Deportivo16%fair 6.18 · @3.90
1.79Expected goals
1.28Santamarina xG
0.51Circulo Deportivo xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Santamarina 1.3 – 0.5 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Circulo Deportivo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo?
Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
