Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Gimnasia Concepción to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceGimnasia Concepción or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.94
Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Gimnasia Concepción take on Independiente De Chivilcoy on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez. Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Independiente De Chivilcoy sit 25th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Atletico Escobar 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Independiente De Chivilcoy's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Tucuman Central 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gimnasia Concepción arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 Gimnasia Concepción.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Gimnasia Concepción and 0.5 for Independiente De Chivilcoy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia Concepción to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Concepción64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Independiente De Chivilcoy12%fair 8.30 · @5.25
2.03Expected goals
1.54Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.49Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.5 – 0.5 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Gimnasia Concepción to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?
Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
