Value bet: Juventud Antoniana to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud Antoniana to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Argentino Monte Maíz take on Juventud Antoniana on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Estadio Modesto Marrone. Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Juventud Antoniana sit 11th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Argentino Monte Maíz's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Alvarado 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Juventud Antoniana's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Villa Mitre 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventud Antoniana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Argentino Monte Maíz and 0.9 for Juventud Antoniana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Juventud Antoniana to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Juventud Antoniana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Monte Maíz34%fair 2.93 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Juventud Antoniana40%fair 2.52 · @2.80
1.77Expected goals
0.83Argentino Monte Maíz xG
0.94Juventud Antoniana xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Argentino Monte Maíz 0.8 – 0.9 Juventud Antoniana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud Antoniana to win✗
40%
2.52
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Argentino Monte Maíz – last 6
DDLLLD
23 Aug
@ Alvarado
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atenas
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ San Martín Mendoza
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juventud Antoniana – last 6
DLLDWW
22 Aug
vs Villa Mitre
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Alvarado
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Boca Unidos
3–0
W
12 Jul
vs Tucuman Central
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Monte Maíz and Juventud Antoniana.
What is the prediction for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana?
On our numbers Argentino Monte Maíz have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventud Antoniana 40%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana?
Our predicted score is Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Juventud Antoniana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana?
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Juventud Antoniana (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modesto Marrone.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
