Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction
The match
Germinal de Rawson host Deportivo Rincon in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Fortin. Germinal de Rawson are 30th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Germinal de Rawson's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with San Martín Mendoza 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Deportivo Rincon's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Juventud Unida Univ. 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Rincon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Germinal de Rawson and 0.9 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Rincon to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Germinal de Rawson39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Deportivo Rincon36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
1.91Expected goals
0.98Germinal de Rawson xG
0.93Deportivo Rincon xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.0 – 0.9 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✗
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.88
–
Form
Germinal de Rawson – last 6
DLWDWL
23 Aug
vs San Martín Mendoza
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Santamarina
5–1
W
8 Aug
@ Costa Brava
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Guillermo Brown
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
WLDWWW
23 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
4–2
W
2 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Costa Brava
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Deportivo Rincon.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Rincon 36%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
