Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.94
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Gimnasia Chivilcoy take on Sarmiento de La Banda on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Jose Maria Paz. Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Sarmiento de La Banda sit 13th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 5: WDLDD Most recently they beat Defensores de Belgrano VR 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Sportivo Belgrano 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy and 0.8 for Sarmiento de La Banda. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 48%, draw 24%, Sarmiento de La Banda 29%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Chivilcoy48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.90
Sarmiento de La Banda29%fair 3.48 · @3.60
1.91Expected goals
1.13Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.77Sarmiento de La Banda xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.1 – 0.8 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win✓
48%
2.10
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Chivilcoy / FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.94
–
Form
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
WDLDDD
23 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
WLDDDW
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
3–0
W
16 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
1–3
L
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Chivilcoy and Sarmiento de La Banda.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarmiento de La Banda 29%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
