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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio General Jose de San Martin

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

San Martín Mendoza to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.90Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceSan Martín Mendoza or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.76

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction

The match

The Torneo Federal A sees San Martín Mendoza take on Deportivo Rincon on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin. San Martín Mendoza are 23rd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

San Martín Mendoza's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Sol de Mayo 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Deportivo Rincon's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Circulo Deportivo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for San Martín Mendoza and 0.5 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was San Martín Mendoza to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

San Martín Mendoza63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.88
Deportivo Rincon12%fair 8.43 · @4.20
1.96Expected goals
1.49San Martín Mendoza xG
0.47Deportivo Rincon xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.5 – 0.5 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✓63%1.581.90 ▲
Double chanceSan Martín Mendoza or draw ✓88%1.131.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.731.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.481.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.181.12
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martín Mendoza / FT San Martín Mendoza ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21%4.76–

Form

San Martín Mendoza – last 6

WWDDDW
13 Augvs Sol de Mayo2–1W
8 Aug@ Santamarina1–0W
2 Augvs Costa Brava2–2D
26 Julvs Argentino Monte Maíz1–1D
12 Jul@ Fundacion Amigos0–0D
5 Julvs Deportivo Rincon1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

DWWWLL
12 Augvs Circulo Deportivo0–0D
8 Aug@ Sol de Mayo4–2W
2 Augvs Guillermo Brown2–0W
25 Jul@ Costa Brava1–0W
12 Julvs Huracan Las Heras0–1L
5 Jul@ San Martín Mendoza0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Jul 2026San Martín Mendoza v Deportivo Rincon1–0
San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our pick is San Martín Mendoza to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Rincon 12%.

How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon?

San Martín Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.