Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Douglas Haig or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Douglas Haig to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDouglas Haig to win ✓64% · @1.90
Double chanceDouglas Haig or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda preview and prediction
The match
Sarmiento de La Banda travel to Miguel Morales in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 16 August (19:00 WAT) to face Douglas Haig. Douglas Haig are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Sarmiento de La Banda sit 13th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Douglas Haig's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Defensores de Belgrano VR 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Sol de América 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento de La Banda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Douglas Haig and 0.5 for Sarmiento de La Banda. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Douglas Haig 64%, draw 20%, Sarmiento de La Banda 15%.
Safer route: Douglas Haig or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Douglas Haig to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Douglas Haig or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Douglas Haig 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Douglas Haig64%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.10
Sarmiento de La Banda15%fair 6.54 · @3.75
2.07Expected goals
1.53Douglas Haig xG
0.54Sarmiento de La Banda xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Douglas Haig 1.5 – 0.5 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Douglas Haig to win✓
64%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Douglas Haig or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Douglas Haig / FT Douglas Haig✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Form
Douglas Haig – last 6
DLDWLD
12 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
DDDWLW
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Defensores de Vilelas
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Bartolomé Mitre
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Douglas Haig and Sarmiento de La Banda.
What is the prediction for Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Douglas Haig or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Douglas Haig have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sarmiento de La Banda 15%.
How many goals will there be in Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Douglas Haig 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Miguel Morales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
