Value bet: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✗40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.72
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca preview and prediction
The match
Argentino Monte Maíz host Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Modesto Marrone. Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Argentino Monte Maíz's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Cipolletti 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Villa Mitre 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olimpo Bahia Blanca arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.7 for Argentino Monte Maíz and 0.9 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win at 3.10 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Monte Maíz33%fair 3.07 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Olimpo Bahia Blanca40%fair 2.48 · @3.10
1.61Expected goals
0.74Argentino Monte Maíz xG
0.87Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
43%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Argentino Monte Maíz 0.7 – 0.9 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpo Bahia Blanca to win✗
40%
2.48
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.72
–
Form
Argentino Monte Maíz – last 6
LLLDDD
12 Aug
@ Cipolletti
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Atenas
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ San Martín Mendoza
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Atenas
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Cipolletti
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6
WWDWWD
12 Aug
vs Villa Mitre
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Santamarina
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Germinal de Rawson
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Villa Mitre
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentino Monte Maíz and Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
What is the prediction for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
On our numbers Argentino Monte Maíz have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 40%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Our predicted score is Argentino Monte Maíz 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modesto Marrone.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
