Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosta Brava to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.82
Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Costa Brava take on Guillermo Brown on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Costa Brava are 27th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Guillermo Brown sit 34th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Costa Brava's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Fundacion Amigos 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guillermo Brown's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Juventud Unida Univ. 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Guillermo Brown arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Costa Brava and 0.5 for Guillermo Brown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Costa Brava 62%, draw 24%, Guillermo Brown 14%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Costa Brava 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Costa Brava62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Guillermo Brown14%fair 7.32 · @5.00
1.95Expected goals
1.45Costa Brava xG
0.49Guillermo Brown xG
45%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–015%
0–014%
1–110%
2–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.5 – 0.5 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Brava to win✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Costa Brava or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Costa Brava / FT Costa Brava✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.82
–
Form
Costa Brava – last 6
DDDLLW
12 Aug
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Germinal de Rawson
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Rincon
0–1
L
4 Jul
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–2
L
28 Jun
vs San Martín Mendoza
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guillermo Brown – last 6
WLLWLW
12 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Circulo Deportivo
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Deportivo Rincon
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Germinal de Rawson
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Villa Mitre
0–3
L
5 Jul
vs Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and Guillermo Brown.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Guillermo Brown 14%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown?
Costa Brava vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
