Value bet: Costa Brava to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava preview and prediction
The match
Costa Brava travel to Estadio General Jose de San Martin in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 2 August (20:30 WAT) to face San Martín Mendoza. San Martín Mendoza are 23rd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Costa Brava sit 27th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Martín Mendoza's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Argentino Monte Maíz 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Costa Brava's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Rincon 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Costa Brava 2–1 San Martín Mendoza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for San Martín Mendoza and 0.8 for Costa Brava. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martín Mendoza 44%, draw 24%, Costa Brava 32%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Costa Brava to win at 3.75 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: San Martín Mendoza 0–0 Costa Brava. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Mendoza44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Costa Brava32%fair 3.12 · @3.75
1.77Expected goals
1.00San Martín Mendoza xG
0.78Costa Brava xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.0 – 0.8 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava?
On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Costa Brava 32%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava?
Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 0–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava?
San Martín Mendoza vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
