Value bet: Villa Mitre to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtenas to win ✗37% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Atenas vs Villa Mitre preview and prediction
The match
Villa Mitre travel to Estadio 9 de Julio in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 2 August (19:45 WAT) to face Atenas. Atenas are 18th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Villa Mitre sit 16th on 23 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Juventud Unida Univ. 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa Mitre's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Sol de Mayo 3–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa Mitre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Atenas and 0.8 for Villa Mitre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 37%, draw 27%, Villa Mitre 36%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Villa Mitre to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atenas 0–0 Villa Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas37%fair 2.73 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.70
Villa Mitre36%fair 2.74 · @3.30
1.65Expected goals
0.83Atenas xG
0.82Villa Mitre xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atenas 0.8 – 0.8 Villa Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
37%
2.73
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.30
–
Form
Atenas – last 6
DDLWDL
26 Jul
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
12 Jul
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Fundacion Amigos
1–3
L
27 Jun
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Costa Brava
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Villa Mitre – last 6
DWDWWD
26 Jul
@ Sol de Mayo
3–3
D
12 Jul
vs Guillermo Brown
3–0
W
5 Jul
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Alvarado
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and Villa Mitre.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atenas vs Villa Mitre?
On our numbers Atenas have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Villa Mitre 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs Villa Mitre?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs Villa Mitre?
Our predicted score is Atenas 0–0 Villa Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs Villa Mitre?
Atenas vs Villa Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Julio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
