Value bet: Juventud Unida Univ. to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ. preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Germinal de Rawson take on Juventud Unida Univ. on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Fortin. Germinal de Rawson are 30th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Juventud Unida Univ. sit 31st on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Germinal de Rawson's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Guillermo Brown 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Juventud Unida Univ.'s last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Atenas 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Germinal de Rawson and 0.7 for Juventud Unida Univ.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Juventud Unida Univ. to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Juventud Unida Univ.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Germinal de Rawson39%fair 2.55 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.75
Juventud Unida Univ.35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
1.54Expected goals
0.81Germinal de Rawson xG
0.73Juventud Unida Univ. xG
44%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 0.8 – 0.7 Juventud Unida Univ. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✓
39%
2.55
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Germinal de Rawson – last 6
LLLWDD
26 Jul
@ Guillermo Brown
0–2
L
12 Jul
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–1
L
5 Jul
@ Alvarado
0–5
L
28 Jun
vs Santamarina
1–0
W
14 Jun
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juventud Unida Univ. – last 6
DLDDLD
26 Jul
@ Atenas
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Cipolletti
0–1
L
27 Jun
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
0–0
D
20 Jun
vs Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Deportivo Rincon
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Costa Brava
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Juventud Unida Univ..
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Juventud Unida Univ. 35%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Juventud Unida Univ., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ.?
Germinal de Rawson vs Juventud Unida Univ. (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
