Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Gimnasia Concepción to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceGimnasia Concepción or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.61
Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central preview and prediction
The match
Tucuman Central travel to Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 2 August (19:30 WAT) to face Gimnasia Concepción. Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Tucuman Central sit 32nd on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gimnasia Concepción's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to El Linqueño 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tucuman Central's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Sarmiento de La Banda 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Gimnasia Concepción and 0.4 for Tucuman Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia Concepción 65%, draw 21%, Tucuman Central 14%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gimnasia Concepción to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Tucuman Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Concepción65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.10
Tucuman Central14%fair 7.31 · @6.00
1.90Expected goals
1.46Gimnasia Concepción xG
0.45Tucuman Central xG
40%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.5 – 0.4 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Concepción to win✓
65%
1.54
1.57
Double chance
Gimnasia Concepción or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Concepción / FT Gimnasia Concepción✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.61
–
Form
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
LDWLLD
26 Jul
vs El Linqueño
0–1
L
12 Jul
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tucuman Central – last 6
DLLLWL
26 Jul
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Juventud Antoniana
1–3
L
5 Jul
vs Sol de América
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Boca Unidos
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ San Martin Formosa
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Concepción and Tucuman Central.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
Our pick is Gimnasia Concepción to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tucuman Central 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central?
Gimnasia Concepción vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
