Double chance9 de Julio Rafaela or draw ✗90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees 9 de Julio Rafaela take on Bartolomé Mitre on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at El Coloso. 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Bartolomé Mitre sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Sarmiento de La Banda 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bartolomé Mitre's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
9 de Julio Rafaela arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for 9 de Julio Rafaela and 0.6 for Bartolomé Mitre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 9 de Julio Rafaela 64%, draw 25%, Bartolomé Mitre 10%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
9 de Julio Rafaela64%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
Bartolomé Mitre10%fair 9.83 · @8.50
2.29Expected goals
1.739 de Julio Rafaela xG
0.56Bartolomé Mitre xG
48%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.7 – 0.6 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
9 de Julio Rafaela to win✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
9 de Julio Rafaela or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
9 de Julio Rafaela ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 9 de Julio Rafaela / FT 9 de Julio Rafaela✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.71
–
Form
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WWLWDD
6 Sep
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
4–1
W
30 Aug
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ San Martin Formosa
1–2
L
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Douglas Haig
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bartolomé Mitre – last 6
LLLLDL
6 Sep
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Douglas Haig
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Sol de América
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Bartolomé Mitre.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bartolomé Mitre 10%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
