Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C · Portugal
Naval 1893
Atlético Malveira
Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Value bet: Atlético Malveira to win @ 3.04 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Naval 1893 1.3 – 1.3 Atlético Malveira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Naval 1893 and Atlético Malveira on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Naval 1893 have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Atlético Malveira have 10 points from their last 6 (2W 4D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Atlético Malveira come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Naval 1893, 1.3 for Atlético Malveira). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Atlético Malveira to win at 3.04 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atlético Malveira to win ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | 3.04 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.76 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Atlético Malveira / FT Atlético Malveira ✗ | 21% | 4.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.24 | – |
Form
Naval 1893 – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ O Elvas | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Mortágua | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ AD Nogueirense | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Felgueiras 1932 | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs FC Alverca II | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Oliveira Hospital | 0–1 | L |
Atlético Malveira – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Benfica Castelo Branco | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ UD da Serra | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Fazendense | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Sertanense | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Nazarenos | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Mafra | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naval 1893 and Atlético Malveira.
More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C predictions
FC Alverca II3
O Elvas1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
74%@1.24
✗
FT
Fazendense2
Nazarenos3
GGBoth teams to score
62%@1.57
✓
FT
AD Nogueirense0
Mortágua0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.38
✗
FT
Benfica Castelo Branco0
Os Marialvas3
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.27
✓
FT
Sertanense1
Oliveira Hospital2
2Oliveira Hospital to win
60%@1.86
✓
FT
UD da Serra1
Fátima2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.27
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
On our numbers Naval 1893 have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Malveira 38%.
How many goals will there be in Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira?
Naval 1893 vs Atlético Malveira (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.