Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C · Portugal

FC Alverca II

DWLWL
3–1
FT

O Elvas

WWLWL

FC Alverca II vs O Elvas prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.24Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultO Elvas to win ✗40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.82

Win chances

FC Alverca II36%fair 2.76 · @2.72
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.08
O Elvas40%fair 2.53 · @2.33
2.56Expected goals
1.24FC Alverca II xG
1.31O Elvas xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: FC Alverca II 1.2 – 1.3 O Elvas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates FC Alverca II and O Elvas on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

FC Alverca II have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. O Elvas have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. O Elvas come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.2 for FC Alverca II, 1.3 for O Elvas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, FC Alverca II have won 1, O Elvas have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.24 is close to our fair price of 1.36.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultO Elvas to win ✗40%2.532.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.771.74
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.24
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT O Elvas / FT O Elvas ✗22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.82–

Form

FC Alverca II – last 6

DWLWLL
1 Nov@ Mortágua0–0D
25 Octvs AD Nogueirense3–0W
11 Oct@ Oliveira Hospital1–3L
27 Sepvs Fazendense5–0W
13 Sep@ Naval 18930–1L
6 Sepvs Benfica Castelo Branco0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

O Elvas – last 6

WWLWLW
1 Novvs Naval 18933–1W
25 Oct@ Benfica Castelo Branco3–1W
11 Octvs UD da Serra1–2L
27 Sepvs Sertanense2–0W
19 Sepvs União de Leiria0–2L
13 Sep@ Fazendense2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026FC Alverca II v O Elvas2–1

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C predictions

FT Fazendense2 Nazarenos3 362341 GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.57 ✓ FT Naval 18930 Atlético Malveira2 382438 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.23 ✓ FT AD Nogueirense0 Mortágua0 332641 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.38 ✗ FT Benfica Castelo Branco0 Os Marialvas3 172459 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.27 ✓ FT Sertanense1 Oliveira Hospital2 152460 2Oliveira Hospital to win 60%@1.86 ✓ FT UD da Serra1 Fátima2 442235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.27 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Alverca II vs O Elvas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win FC Alverca II vs O Elvas?

On our numbers FC Alverca II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and O Elvas 40%.

How many goals will there be in FC Alverca II vs O Elvas?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is FC Alverca II vs O Elvas?

FC Alverca II vs O Elvas (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.