Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C · Portugal

Fazendense

LLLLL
2–3
FT

Nazarenos

DDWLL

Fazendense vs Nazarenos prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNazarenos to win ✓41% · @2.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Win chances

Fazendense36%fair 2.74 · @2.44
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.32
Nazarenos41%fair 2.45 · @2.43
3.13Expected goals
1.52Fazendense xG
1.62Nazarenos xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%

From our goals model: Fazendense 1.5 – 1.6 Nazarenos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Fazendense and Nazarenos on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Fazendense have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 3.2 per game. Nazarenos have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Fazendense, 1.6 for Nazarenos). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNazarenos to win ✓41%2.452.43
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nazarenos / FT Nazarenos ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.57–

Form

Fazendense – last 6

LLLLLW
1 Nov@ Fátima1–6L
25 Octvs Os Marialvas1–2L
17 Octvs Estrela1–2L
11 Oct@ Atlético Malveira1–3L
27 Sep@ FC Alverca II0–5L
20 Sepvs Ginásio Figueirense6–1W
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Nazarenos – last 6

DDWLLL
1 Novvs Sertanense0–0D
25 Octvs Oliveira Hospital1–1D
11 Oct@ Fátima3–1W
13 Sepvs Os Marialvas0–3L
6 Sep@ Atlético Malveira0–3L
30 Augvs Vitória de Sernache0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Fazendense and Nazarenos.

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C predictions

FT FC Alverca II3 O Elvas1 362440 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✗ FT Naval 18930 Atlético Malveira2 382438 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.23 ✓ FT AD Nogueirense0 Mortágua0 332641 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.38 ✗ FT Benfica Castelo Branco0 Os Marialvas3 172459 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.27 ✓ FT Sertanense1 Oliveira Hospital2 152460 2Oliveira Hospital to win 60%@1.86 ✓ FT UD da Serra1 Fátima2 442235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.27 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

On our numbers Fazendense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nazarenos 41%.

How many goals will there be in Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Fazendense vs Nazarenos?

Fazendense vs Nazarenos (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.