Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Malveira to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Malveira to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceAtlético Malveira or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.82
Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense preview and prediction
The match
Fazendense travel to Estadio das Seixas in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 11 October (15:00 WAT) to face Atlético Malveira. Atlético Malveira are 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Fazendense sit 14th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Atlético Malveira's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Sertanense 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Fazendense's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to FC Alverca II 0–5 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Atlético Malveira and 1.0 for Fazendense. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Malveira 65%, draw 19%, Fazendense 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Malveira to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atlético Malveira 2–0 Fazendense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Malveira65%fair 1.55 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.10
Fazendense17%fair 6.03 · @6.25
3.11Expected goals
2.14Atlético Malveira xG
0.97Fazendense xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atlético Malveira 2.1 – 1.0 Fazendense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Malveira to win✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Double chance
Atlético Malveira or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Atlético Malveira ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Malveira / FT Atlético Malveira✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
Atlético Malveira – last 6
DWDLLD
13 Sep
@ Sertanense
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Nazarenos
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Mafra
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Fátima
0–5
L
16 Aug
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
31 May
@ Oliveira Hospital
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fazendense – last 6
LWLLWD
27 Sep
@ FC Alverca II
0–5
L
20 Sep
vs Ginásio Figueirense
6–1
W
13 Sep
vs O Elvas
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Mortágua
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Mocarriense
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs AD Nogueirense
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Malveira and Fazendense.
What is the prediction for Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense?
Our pick is Atlético Malveira to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense?
On our numbers Atlético Malveira have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fazendense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense?
Our predicted score is Atlético Malveira 2–0 Fazendense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense?
Atlético Malveira vs Fazendense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio das Seixas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
