Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultO Elvas to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
O Elvas vs Fátima preview and prediction
The match
Fátima travel to Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 16 August (17:00 WAT) to face O Elvas. O Elvas are 3rd with 16 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Fátima sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
O Elvas's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Alcochetense 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fátima's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Oliveira Hospital 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for O Elvas and 1.0 for Fátima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: O Elvas 46%, draw 22%, Fátima 31%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: O Elvas 1–0 Fátima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
O Elvas46%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Fátima31%fair 3.18 · @3.30
2.29Expected goals
1.30O Elvas xG
0.99Fátima xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: O Elvas 1.3 – 1.0 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
O Elvas to win✗
46%
2.15
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT O Elvas / FT O Elvas✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
O Elvas – last 6
LDLWWL
22 Mar
@ Alcochetense
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ FC Alverca II
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Lagoa
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Juventude Évora
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Louletano
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fátima – last 6
LLLWDD
29 Mar
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Os Marialvas
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Naval 1893
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lajense
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Samora Correir
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O Elvas and Fátima.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win O Elvas vs Fátima?
On our numbers O Elvas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fátima 31%.
How many goals will there be in O Elvas vs Fátima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O Elvas vs Fátima?
Our predicted score is O Elvas 1–0 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is O Elvas vs Fátima?
O Elvas vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
