Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Malveira or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Atlético Malveira to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Malveira to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceAtlético Malveira or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas preview and prediction
The match
Os Marialvas travel to Estadio das Seixas in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 16 August (17:00 WAT) to face Atlético Malveira. Atlético Malveira are 5th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Os Marialvas sit 1st on 19 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Atlético Malveira's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Oliveira Hospital 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Os Marialvas's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with União Lamas 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Atlético Malveira and 0.7 for Os Marialvas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Malveira 57%, draw 26%, Os Marialvas 17%.
Safer route: Atlético Malveira or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Atlético Malveira to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Malveira or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atlético Malveira 1–0 Os Marialvas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Malveira57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.20
Os Marialvas17%fair 5.81 · @3.50
2.32Expected goals
1.58Atlético Malveira xG
0.74Os Marialvas xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atlético Malveira 1.6 – 0.7 Os Marialvas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Malveira to win✗
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Atlético Malveira or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Malveira / FT Atlético Malveira✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Atlético Malveira – last 6
DDDWLW
31 May
@ Oliveira Hospital
1–1
D
17 May
@ Louletano
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Lagoa
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Moncarapachense
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Comércio Indústria
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Os Marialvas – last 6
DDWWDD
22 Jul
@ União Lamas
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs UD da Serra
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Fátima
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Samora Correir
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Marinhense
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Oliveira Hospital
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Malveira and Os Marialvas.
What is the prediction for Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas?
Our pick is Atlético Malveira or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas?
On our numbers Atlético Malveira have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Os Marialvas 17%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas?
Our predicted score is Atlético Malveira 1–0 Os Marialvas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas?
Atlético Malveira vs Os Marialvas (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio das Seixas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
