Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Tirsense to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRebordosa to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98
Rebordosa vs Tirsense preview and prediction
The match
Tirsense travel to Complexo Desportivo Azevido in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 16 August (17:00 WAT) to face Rebordosa. Rebordosa are 9th with 10 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Tirsense sit 4th on 15 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Rebordosa's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Vianense 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tirsense's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Varzim 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Rebordosa and 1.1 for Tirsense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 45%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Tirsense to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Rebordosa 1–1 Tirsense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rebordosa43%fair 2.30 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Tirsense34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.23Rebordosa xG
1.05Tirsense xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Rebordosa 1.2 – 1.1 Tirsense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rebordosa to win✗
43%
2.30
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rebordosa / FT Rebordosa✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Rebordosa – last 6
LWDLWW
31 May
@ Vianense
0–2
L
22 May
vs Leça
2–1
W
17 May
vs Bragança
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Vila Meã
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Aparecida
3–1
W
8 Mar
@ Resende
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tirsense – last 6
LWWDWD
29 Jul
vs Varzim
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Mirandela
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Celoricense
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Vilaverdense
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Camacha
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rebordosa and Tirsense.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Rebordosa vs Tirsense?
On our numbers Rebordosa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tirsense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Rebordosa vs Tirsense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rebordosa vs Tirsense?
Our predicted score is Rebordosa 1–1 Tirsense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rebordosa vs Tirsense?
Rebordosa vs Tirsense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo Azevido.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
