Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVila Meã to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceVila Meã or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã preview and prediction
The match
The Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A sees Ponte da Barca take on Vila Meã on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Ponte da Barca are 10th with 10 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Vila Meã sit 11th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vila Meã's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Rebordosa 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Ponte da Barca and 1.5 for Vila Meã. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ponte da Barca 16%, draw 24%, Vila Meã 60%.
Safer route: Vila Meã or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vila Meã to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ponte da Barca 0–1 Vila Meã. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ponte da Barca16%fair 6.11 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Vila Meã60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
2.19Expected goals
0.65Ponte da Barca xG
1.55Vila Meã xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–213%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ponte da Barca 0.6 – 1.5 Vila Meã expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Meã to win✓
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Vila Meã or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Meã / FT Vila Meã✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.79
–
Form
Ponte da Barca
No recent results on record.
Vila Meã – last 6
WLDLDD
22 Mar
vs Rebordosa
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ União Lamas
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Aparecida
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Alpendorada
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Resende
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte da Barca and Vila Meã.
What is the prediction for Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã?
Our pick is Vila Meã to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã?
On our numbers Ponte da Barca have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vila Meã 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã?
Our predicted score is Ponte da Barca 0–1 Vila Meã, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã?
Ponte da Barca vs Vila Meã (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
