Value bet: Chaves II to win @ 3.10 – our chance 43% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChaves II to win ✗43% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Os Limianos vs Chaves II preview and prediction
The match
Chaves II travel to Campo Cruzeiro in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A on Sunday 16 August (17:00 WAT) to face Os Limianos. Os Limianos are 1st with 18 points from 8 games (top of the table), while Chaves II sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Os Limianos's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Ribeira Brava 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Chaves II's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Monção 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Os Limianos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Os Limianos and 1.3 for Chaves II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Os Limianos 35%, draw 22%, Chaves II 43%.
Value angle: Chaves II to win at 3.10 – 43% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Os Limianos 1–1 Chaves II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Os Limianos35%fair 2.87 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Chaves II43%fair 2.31 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.11Os Limianos xG
1.28Chaves II xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Os Limianos 1.1 – 1.3 Chaves II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chaves II to win✗
43%
2.31
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chaves II / FT Chaves II✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
Os Limianos – last 6
WLWDDW
25 Mar
vs Ribeira Brava
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Bragança
1–4
L
15 Mar
vs Monção
4–1
W
8 Mar
@ Mirandela
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Celoricense
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Vilaverdense
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chaves II – last 6
WLWLDD
22 Mar
@ Monção
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Celoricense
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vilaverdense
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Camacha
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Os Limianos and Chaves II.
What is the prediction for Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
On our numbers Os Limianos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chaves II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
Our predicted score is Os Limianos 1–1 Chaves II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Os Limianos vs Chaves II?
Os Limianos vs Chaves II (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cruzeiro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
