Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Sporting Gijón II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.05
Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco preview and prediction
The match
Sporting Gijón II host Marino de Luanco in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sporting Gijón II's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Caudal 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marino de Luanco's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Real Avilés 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Marino de Luanco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sporting Gijón II and 0.9 for Marino de Luanco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Gijón II 46%, draw 24%, Marino de Luanco 31%.
Value angle: Sporting Gijón II to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Marino de Luanco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Gijón II46%fair 2.18 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.85
Marino de Luanco31%fair 3.28 · @2.70
2.16Expected goals
1.23Sporting Gijón II xG
0.93Marino de Luanco xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijón II 1.2 – 0.9 Marino de Luanco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijón II to win✓
46%
2.18
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijón II / FT Sporting Gijón II✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.05
–
Form
Sporting Gijón II – last 6
DDLWWL
24 May
vs Caudal
0–0
D
17 May
@ Caudal
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Covadonga
0–5
L
19 Apr
vs Avilés Stadium
5–0
W
5 Apr
vs Real Titánico
7–0
W
22 Mar
@ Tuilla
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Marino de Luanco – last 6
WWLWWD
29 Jul
vs Real Avilés
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
3 May
@ Numancia
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Sámano
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Coruxo
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs UD Ourense
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijón II and Marino de Luanco.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
On our numbers Sporting Gijón II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Marino de Luanco 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijón II 1–0 Marino de Luanco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco?
Sporting Gijón II vs Marino de Luanco (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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