Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 2.80 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSudtirol to win ✗43% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.79
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria preview and prediction
The match
Sampdoria travel to Stadio Marco Druso in the Serie B on Saturday 24 October (14:00 WAT) to face Sudtirol. Sudtirol are 12th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Sampdoria sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sudtirol's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Juve Stabia 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sampdoria's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Arezzo 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Sudtirol and 1.2 for Sampdoria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sudtirol to win at 2.80 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Sudtirol 1–1 Sampdoria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sudtirol43%fair 2.30 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Sampdoria33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
2.64Expected goals
1.43Sudtirol xG
1.21Sampdoria xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.4 – 1.2 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Sudtirol have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sampdoria 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marco Druso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
