Value bet: Benevento to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenevento to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Arezzo vs Benevento preview and prediction
The match
Benevento travel to Citta di Arezzo in the Serie B on Saturday 24 October (18:30 WAT) to face Arezzo. Arezzo are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Benevento sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Arezzo's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Sampdoria 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Benevento's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Vicenza Virtus 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Benevento arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Arezzo and 1.6 for Benevento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arezzo 31%, draw 23%, Benevento 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Benevento to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Arezzo 1–1 Benevento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arezzo31%fair 3.27 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Benevento46%fair 2.17 · @2.40
2.79Expected goals
1.22Arezzo xG
1.57Benevento xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.2 – 1.6 Benevento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
46%
2.17
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Form
Arezzo – last 6
WDLWLL
18 Oct
@ Sampdoria
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Cremonese
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ Empoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Benevento – last 6
DWLWWL
17 Oct
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Cesena
2–0
W
2 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
11 Sep
vs Hellas Verona
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Ascoli
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Benevento.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Arezzo vs Benevento?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Benevento 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Benevento?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Benevento?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Benevento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Benevento?
Arezzo vs Benevento (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
