Padova travel to Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi in the Serie B on Saturday 24 October (14:00 WAT) to face Avellino. Avellino are 5th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Padova sit 10th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Avellino's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Cesena 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Padova's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Virtus Entella 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Avellino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Avellino and 1.1 for Padova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Avellino 46%, draw 23%, Padova 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Avellino 1–1 Padova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avellino46%fair 2.15 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Padova30%fair 3.30 · @3.30
2.57Expected goals
1.46Avellino xG
1.11Padova xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Avellino 1.5 – 1.1 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avellino to win✗
46%
2.15
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avellino / FT Avellino✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.97
–
Form
Avellino – last 6
DWLDWW
18 Oct
@ Cesena
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Sampdoria
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Ascoli
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Palermo
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Modena
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Vicenza Virtus
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
LLLWLD
17 Oct
vs Virtus Entella
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Carrarese
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Palermo
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cremonese
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Hellas Verona
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avellino and Padova.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
On our numbers Avellino have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Padova 30%.
How many goals will there be in Avellino vs Padova?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avellino vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Avellino 1–1 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Avellino vs Padova?
Avellino vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
