Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultModena to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceModena or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Modena vs Cesena preview and prediction
The match
Cesena travel to Stadio Alberto Braglia in the Serie B on Saturday 24 October (14:00 WAT) to face Modena. Modena are 2nd with 23 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Cesena sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Modena's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Carrarese 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Cesena's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Avellino 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Modena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Modena and 0.7 for Cesena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Modena 66%, draw 24%, Cesena 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Modena to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Modena 1–0 Cesena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Modena66%fair 1.53 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.90
Cesena11%fair 9.37 · @5.50
2.64Expected goals
1.95Modena xG
0.69Cesena xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Modena 1.9 – 0.7 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✓
66%
1.53
1.53
Double chance
Modena or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Modena ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.19
–
Form
Modena – last 6
LWWDLW
17 Oct
@ Carrarese
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Avellino
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Cremonese
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 6
DLDDDW
18 Oct
vs Avellino
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Benevento
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Cremonese
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Cesena.
Our pick is Modena to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Modena vs Cesena?
On our numbers Modena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cesena 11%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Modena 1–0 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Cesena?
Modena vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
