Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Hellas Verona or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Hellas Verona to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHellas Verona to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceHellas Verona or draw ✓88% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.46
Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus preview and prediction
The match
Hellas Verona host Vicenza Virtus in the Serie B on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Hellas Verona are 7th with 16 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Vicenza Virtus sit 18th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Hellas Verona's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Benevento 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Vicenza Virtus's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Juve Stabia 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Hellas Verona and 1.1 for Vicenza Virtus. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Hellas Verona to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hellas Verona or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hellas Verona63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Vicenza Virtus12%fair 8.19 · @3.80
3.50Expected goals
2.41Hellas Verona xG
1.09Vicenza Virtus xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Hellas Verona 2.4 – 1.1 Vicenza Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hellas Verona to win✓
63%
1.58
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Hellas Verona or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Hellas Verona ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hellas Verona / FT Hellas Verona✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.46
–
Form
Hellas Verona – last 6
LWWDLD
11 Sep
@ Benevento
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Arezzo
5–0
W
3 Sep
@ Cagliari
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vicenza Virtus – last 6
DDLWDD
12 Sep
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Virtus Entella
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Avellino
0–3
L
21 Aug
vs Catanzaro
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Catania
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Genoa
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hellas Verona and Vicenza Virtus.
What is the prediction for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our pick is Hellas Verona or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus?
On our numbers Hellas Verona have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vicenza Virtus 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus?
Our predicted score is Hellas Verona 2–1 Vicenza Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus?
Hellas Verona vs Vicenza Virtus (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Marc'Antonio Bentegodi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.