Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
2
Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSudtirol to win ✓37% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Arezzo vs Sudtirol preview and prediction
The match
Arezzo host Sudtirol in the Serie B on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Città di Arezzo. Arezzo are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Sudtirol sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arezzo's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Empoli 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sudtirol's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Genoa 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Arezzo and 1.3 for Sudtirol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arezzo 37%, draw 26%, Sudtirol 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Sudtirol to win at 3.30 – 37% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arezzo 1–1 Sudtirol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arezzo37%fair 2.72 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.90
Sudtirol37%fair 2.67 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.31Arezzo xG
1.32Sudtirol xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.3 – 1.3 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudtirol to win✓
37%
2.67
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sudtirol / FT Sudtirol✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Form
Arezzo – last 6
WLLWLW
11 Sep
@ Empoli
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hellas Verona
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Palermo
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
LDWDWD
15 Sep
@ Genoa
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Modena
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Catanzaro
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Benevento
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sudtirol 37%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Sudtirol?
Arezzo vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Città di Arezzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
