Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMantova to win ✗37% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Mantova vs Pisa preview and prediction
The match
Pisa travel to Stadio Danilo Martelli in the Serie B on Sunday 20 September (16:15 WAT) to face Mantova. Mantova are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Pisa sit 8th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mantova's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Sampdoria 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pisa's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Fiorentina 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Mantova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Mantova and 1.4 for Pisa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mantova 37%, draw 25%, Pisa 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mantova 1–1 Pisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mantova37%fair 2.67 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Pisa37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
2.88Expected goals
1.44Mantova xG
1.44Pisa xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.4 – 1.4 Pisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✗
37%
2.67
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Form
Mantova – last 6
WDLWWW
13 Sep
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Cesena
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Palermo
2–5
L
30 Aug
vs Empoli
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Carrarese
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Lazio
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pisa – last 6
LLWWLD
15 Sep
@ Fiorentina
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Virtus Entella
1–4
L
6 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Catanzaro
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Padova
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Empoli
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Pisa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Mantova vs Pisa?
On our numbers Mantova have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pisa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Pisa?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Pisa?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Pisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Pisa?
Mantova vs Pisa (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
